View Full Version : Al Franken close to victory in MN Senate race
Elduardo
01-04-2009, 01:18 PM
Franken leads as Minn. recount nears finish line
ST. PAUL, Minn. (AP) - Victory in Minnesota's drawn-out Senate race moved within Democrat Al Franken's grasp Saturday when he increased his lead over Republican Norm Coleman as the statewide recount drew to a close.
The state Canvassing Board will reconvene Monday to declare which candidate received the most overall votes in the election. Barring court intervention, it will be Franken.
Franken's lead now stands at 225 votes after gaining 176 votes more than Coleman in Saturday's review of the formerly sealed absentee ballots. Franken started the day with a 49-vote advantage.
The 933 absentee ballots were among those rejected by poll workers but later found to be excluded in error. The campaigns eventually agreed they should be added to the recount.
Unless Coleman wins a pending court petition that seeks to add hundreds more ballots to the recount, the counting is done and the Canvassing Board can sign off on the result on Monday or Tuesday. The result cannot be certified for at least one more week under state law.
"We are confident since there are no ballots left to count the final margin will stand with Al Franken having won the election by 225 votes," said Franken attorney Marc Elias.
The new total came on the day Coleman's term as senator officially expired.
Senate Republican leaders have said the chamber shouldn't seat Franken until all legal matters are settled, even if that drags on for months.
Coleman's campaign has a pending request before the high court to include an additional 650 ballots that it said were improperly rejected but not forwarded by local officials to St. Paul for counting. The state Supreme Court has not said when it would rule in that case.
The Canvassing Board's declaration of the winner of the recount opens a seven-day window for the losing candidate to challenge the result in court. Such a lawsuit could take months to resolve and leave Minnesota with only one senator for the time being.
Coleman hasn't ruled out filing a lawsuit challenging the election result, claiming irregulaties gave Franken an unfair advantage. Coleman's lead lawyer, Fritz Knaak, said the campaign was almost certain to sue.
"Ultimately I believe it's going to be the senator's decision based on our recommendation," Knaak said. "At this point, my recommendation would be to move forward."
Franken's campaign has refused to outline its potential next steps.
Democratic Secretary of State Mark Ritchie said he doubted a lawsuit will get filed despite the tough talk.
"This is so accurate and has been done so carefully that the person with the least votes is going to say, 'I'm disappointed, I'm sad, but I came in short this time,'" he said.
I don't know much about Norm Coleman but I do know that Franken is a far-left ideologue who is not qualified for any public office.
I know there is a ton of far left money behind Franken that aided his campaign but I find it incredibly hard to believe that a significant number of voters could actually believe that he would represent an improvement over the current status quo.
Scary.
Luris Blear
01-04-2009, 01:33 PM
Hm. When the guy wasn't writing Stuart Saves His Family, he was writing reactionary commentary in books with hateful titles.
The scarier question is this: Why do religious fundies get knocked for doing pretty much the same thing? It would be like putting Fred Phelps in the Senate.
Elduardo
01-04-2009, 01:40 PM
Valid questions. Franken is clearly a hater. That was the premise of the failed Air America network.
Mainstream Americans usually shun haters in politics (see Howard Dean circa 2004) but Franken has managed to hang in this election, most likely due to far left money from the likes of George Soros.
I've been saying it and I will keep saying it. We need much better than what we have in the government representatives from both parties.
Al Franken isn't even close.
Searcher
01-05-2009, 09:38 AM
Valid questions. Franken is clearly a hater. That was the premise of the failed Air America network.
Mainstream Americans usually shun haters in politics (see Howard Dean circa 2004) but Franken has managed to hang in this election, most likely due to far left money from the likes of George Soros.
You must be joking. Any time I've ever listened to left leaning radio, like Thom Hartmann or Bill Press, they seem rather calm and reasonable, regardless of whether you agree with their politics or not. Lets compare that to Rush, Sean, and the other idiot Mark Levin. Ever listen tho those guys? Left leaning talk radio doesn't do as well because libs don't need a radio host to tell them what to think. Conservatives have so alienated themselves with bad ideas, and terrible history, that they need someone to pat them on the head and provide them comfort.
Elduardo
01-05-2009, 06:30 PM
So have you listened to Franken's show or not? If you haven't, you really shouldn't comment.
Elduardo
01-05-2009, 06:40 PM
Excellent analysis by the Wall Street Journal...
Funny Business in Minnesota
Strange things keep happening in Minnesota, where the disputed recount in the Senate race between Norm Coleman and Al Franken may be nearing a dubious outcome. Thanks to the machinations of Democratic Secretary of State Mark Ritchie and a meek state Canvassing Board, Mr. Franken may emerge as an illegitimate victor.
Mr. Franken started the recount 215 votes behind Senator Coleman, but he now claims a 225-vote lead and suddenly the man who was insisting on "counting every vote" wants to shut the process down. He's getting help from Mr. Ritchie and his four fellow Canvassing Board members, who have delivered inconsistent rulings and are ignoring glaring problems with the tallies.
Under Minnesota law, election officials are required to make a duplicate ballot if the original is damaged during Election Night counting. Officials are supposed to mark these as "duplicate" and segregate the original ballots. But it appears some officials may have failed to mark ballots as duplicates, which are now being counted in addition to the originals. This helps explain why more than 25 precincts now have more ballots than voters who signed in to vote. By some estimates this double counting has yielded Mr. Franken an additional 80 to 100 votes.
This disenfranchises Minnesotans whose vote counted only once. And one Canvassing Board member, State Supreme Court Justice G. Barry Anderson, has acknowledged that "very likely there was a double counting." Yet the board insists that it lacks the authority to question local officials and it is merely adding the inflated numbers to the totals.
In other cases, the board has been flagrantly inconsistent. Last month, Mr. Franken's campaign charged that one Hennepin County (Minneapolis) precinct had "lost" 133 votes, since the hand recount showed fewer ballots than machine votes recorded on Election Night. Though there is no proof to this missing vote charge -- officials may have accidentally run the ballots through the machine twice on Election Night -- the Canvassing Board chose to go with the Election Night total, rather than the actual number of ballots in the recount. That decision gave Mr. Franken a gain of 46 votes.
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Meanwhile, a Ramsey County precinct ended up with 177 more ballots than there were recorded votes on Election Night. In that case, the board decided to go with the extra ballots, rather than the Election Night total, even though the county is now showing more ballots than voters in the precinct. This gave Mr. Franken a net gain of 37 votes, which means he's benefited both ways from the board's inconsistency.
And then there are the absentee ballots. The Franken campaign initially howled that some absentee votes had been erroneously rejected by local officials. Counties were supposed to review their absentees and create a list of those they believed were mistakenly rejected. Many Franken-leaning counties did so, submitting 1,350 ballots to include in the results. But many Coleman-leaning counties have yet to complete a re-examination. Despite this lack of uniformity, and though the state Supreme Court has yet to rule on a Coleman request to standardize this absentee review, Mr. Ritchie's office nonetheless plowed through the incomplete pile of 1,350 absentees this weekend, padding Mr. Franken's edge by a further 176 votes.
Both campaigns have also suggested that Mr. Ritchie's office made mistakes in tabulating votes that had been challenged by either of the campaigns. And the Canvassing Board appears to have applied inconsistent standards in how it decided some of these challenged votes -- in ways that, again on net, have favored Mr. Franken.
The question is how the board can certify a fair and accurate election result given these multiple recount problems. Yet that is precisely what the five members seem prepared to do when they meet today. Some members seem to have concluded that because one of the candidates will challenge the result in any event, why not get on with it and leave it to the courts? Mr. Coleman will certainly have grounds to contest the result in court, but he'll be at a disadvantage given that courts are understandably reluctant to overrule a certified outcome.
Meanwhile, Minnesota's other Senator, Amy Klobuchar, is already saying her fellow Democrats should seat Mr. Franken when the 111th Congress begins this week if the Canvassing Board certifies him as the winner. This contradicts Minnesota law, which says the state cannot award a certificate of election if one party contests the results. Ms. Klobuchar is trying to create the public perception of a fait accompli, all the better to make Mr. Coleman look like a sore loser and build pressure on him to drop his legal challenge despite the funny recount business.
Minnesotans like to think that their state isn't like New Jersey or Louisiana, and typically it isn't. But we can't recall a similar recount involving optical scanning machines that has changed so many votes, and in which nearly every crucial decision worked to the advantage of the same candidate. The Coleman campaign clearly misjudged the politics here, and the apparent willingness of a partisan like Mr. Ritchie to help his preferred candidate, Mr. Franken. If the Canvassing Board certifies Mr. Franken as the winner based on the current count, it will be anointing a tainted and undeserving Senator.
Grendel
01-05-2009, 07:13 PM
Valid questions. Franken is clearly a hater. That was the premise of the failed Air America network.
Mainstream Americans usually shun haters in politics (see Howard Dean circa 2004) but Franken has managed to hang in this election, most likely due to far left money from the likes of George Soros.A "hater?"
I'll be the first to admit he's not right for this position, but playground labels like that do little in the way of legitimate critique. Counter programming a given medium or outlet is precisely how the conservative radio pundits have spun things with their "liberal media" canard for years. Targeting a niche does not a hater make.
As for Franken's ability to prevail here, it seems the backdrop of the last eight years has a good deal more to do with the traction a progressive candidate gets than the well-heeled backers who thoroughly populate both sides of the race.
Elduardo
01-05-2009, 07:30 PM
I clearly could have phrased it differently but the intent wasn't to engage in name-calling of Al Franken but to refer to his behavior both on the radio and in print of spewing vile, hateful rhetoric towards those with whom he disagrees.
As for the MN election, the WSJ article above does a very good job of documenting the shenanigans going on in Minnesota.
Luris Blear
01-05-2009, 07:31 PM
I typed Al Franken into Amazon:
Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them: A Fair and Balanced Look at the Right, Paperback, 448 pages.
Chapter 6 is entitle "I Bitch Slap Bernie Goldberg (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernard_Goldberg)."
Rush Limbaugh is a Big Fat Idiot, Paperback, 336 pages.
This is flat out name calling. This is not peaceful, honest political debate. This is open mudslinging and assault. This is how Al Franken earns his living.
Even this forum - the Current Events forum here at UHM - frowns on its own members speaking of other people this way. We're the armchair quarterbacks. This guy is trying to make a career of it.
If it is unjustifiable in civil debate then it is appalling when spoken by our leaders.
Searcher
01-05-2009, 07:36 PM
So have you listened to Franken's show or not? If you haven't, you really shouldn't comment.
I read one of his books, have seen him interviewed on tv, listened to air america, listened to EIB, I think I have enough information to keep up with anything you've got to say.
Elduardo
01-05-2009, 07:42 PM
Luris put forth some good examples above. To say that Franken does not make hateful comments towards those with whom he disagrees is flat-out dishonest.
Grendel
01-05-2009, 07:45 PM
Except it wasn't spoken by our leaders, LB.
It was spoken by a comedian trying to sell books, that was his career.
Now he's attempting a new one.
If people believe his past books, monologues, etc. disqualify him, that's what the election was for.
Still keeping in mind that he only said publicly what--rest assured--90% of our "leaders" say (or worse) amongst themselves, privately, if he conducts himself that way in office, then that would, indeed, be appalling. He'll rightfully be held to a higher standard, now. I see no reason to at least see how he acquits himself in the job before assailing him as being categorically unfit on issues of character.
EDIT: and to that final score, given Franken's unconventional entry to politics, I guarantee you his character balance sheet is by far cleaner than most, not having had to get by making all sorts of back-scratching, quid pro quo, under the table deals for appointments, contracts, etc. in order to climb the ladder.
Elduardo
01-05-2009, 07:48 PM
Except it wasn't spoken by our leaders, LB.
It was spoken by a comedian trying to sell books, that was his career.
Now he's attempting a new one.
If people believe his past books, monologues, etc. disqualify him, that's what the election was for.
Still keeping in mind that he only said publicly what--rest assured--90% of our "leaders" say (or worse) amongst themselves, privately, if he conducts himself that way in office, then that would, indeed, be appalling. He'll rightfully be held to a higher standard, now. I see no reason to at least see how he acquits himself in the job before assailing him as being categorically unfit on issues of character.
Let's be reasonable. We don't know how Franken would act as an elected official but his track record in his career so far indicates that he is a hateful person.
Plenty of comedians out there who make a living in non-hateful ways.
Searcher
01-05-2009, 07:49 PM
Luris put forth some good examples above. To say that Franken does not make hateful comments towards those with whom he disagrees is flat-out dishonest.
Nobody said he doesn't. He's a comedian. That's what he does for a living. But you tried to line up air america, all it's hosts, and it's lackluster popularity with AF. Which would insinuating that a non hateful network might fair better. Nobody spews more hateful bitterness than right wing talk radio.
Elduardo
01-05-2009, 07:55 PM
Nobody said he doesn't. He's a comedian. That's what he does for a living. But you tried to line up air america, all it's hosts, and it's lackluster popularity with AF. Which would insinuating that a non hateful network might fair better. Nobody spews more hateful bitterness than right wing talk radio.
I haven't listened to much right wing radio so I really can't comment. It's my opinion that most Americans don't support hateful messages or angry, hateful politicians.
Main point of the thread is that Franken is not qualified for any public office and there are some definite questionable things going on in the MN recount.
Luris Blear
01-05-2009, 08:32 PM
Okay, this "it's comedy" routine is pure shit.
The guy could get away with any kind of smear he wanted citing "it was just a joke?" Good job.
The Republican Party is trying to throw Chip Saltsman to the curb for sending out a Paul Shanklin cd with offensive "comedy" tones. The Democrats are trying to elect a leader for writing hundreds of pages under the same banner of comedy.
But I'll dig this deeper.
"After Delacorte asked me to write a book on politics, my very first creative act was coming up with the title, Rush Limbaugh Is a Big Fat Idiot and Other Observations. I thought the title, aside from the obvious advantage of being personally offensive to Limbaugh, would sell books. Let me explain why: It makes fun of Rush Limbaugh by pointing out that he is a big lardbutt.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0440508649 -- this is from page 1 in the Excerpt that can be found at Amazon.com
These are his own words explaining that this is a book "about politics.' Not about comedy.
These are still his ideas, his creations. Either he stole them from someone else, in which case he is incompetent to lead a free society, or there is a part of his mind that finds this acceptable. As a comedian, fine.
He made his name in politics by demonizing another ideology. That puts him on the level of Fred Phelps, and makes him no less dangerous as a leader.
Dr. Phibes
01-05-2009, 09:48 PM
Okay, this "it's comedy" routine is pure shit.
These are his own words explaining that this is a book "about politics.' Not about comedy.
These are still his ideas, his creations...
True enough. The case could be made that a hate-spewing comedian leopard wouldn't change his spots in the political arena. All evidence thus far points to that conclusion.
He made his name in politics by demonizing another ideology. That puts him on the level of Fred Phelps, and makes him no less dangerous as a leader.
I'd put Franken on the same radical, dangerous level as Phelps as well. I'd like to know how Franken himself would describe his political aims. I would imagine it would be a single aim: eliminate the dissenting voice.
Grendel
01-05-2009, 10:53 PM
Let's be reasonable. We don't know how Franken would act as an elected official but his track record in his career so far indicates that he is a hateful person.
Plenty of comedians out there who make a living in non-hateful ways.I'm sorry, I just don't see an entertainment figure using strong opinions and coarse language against public figures making making that individual necessarily "hateful."
In fact, after being treated to six years of average citizens' dissent being conflated with disloyalty within the public discourse, a comedian talking about "bitchslapping" a news commentator doesn't even approach "hateful."
He made his name in politics by demonizing another ideology. That puts him on the level of Fred Phelps, and makes him no less dangerous as a leader.
"It makes fun of Rush Limbaugh by pointing out that he is a big lardbutt." is on par with "God hates fags?"
You see no delineation between two (equally) puffed-up media figures trading PG-rated barbs and someone slurring millions of Americans while attempting to defile private funerals?
Seriously?
Dr. Phibes
01-06-2009, 12:28 AM
To answer your question, although it wasn't directed towards me, no. In Franken's case, at least not on the surface. Franken, in seeking public office, has a lot more to lose and is smart enough to tone it all down. But I think Franken is as ideologically radical. I think I see your point, though. Phelps should really not be part of the discussion. His ideology and intent is not part of the political arena.
Grendel
01-06-2009, 01:38 AM
To answer your question, although it wasn't directed towards me, no. In Franken's case, at least not on the surface. Franken, in seeking public office, has a lot more to lose and is smart enough to tone it all down. But I think Franken is as ideologically radical. I think I see your point, though. Phelps should really not be part of the discussion. His ideology and intent is not part of the political arena.It goes without saying I agree with the assessment that Phelps and his ilk is/are an outlier.
To the seat at hand, though, I think ideology is often tempered by the realities of office. While Franken might lean progressive, I'll be shocked if he's really all that radical, in practice...
Elduardo
01-06-2009, 08:03 AM
I don't feel like doing the research on it but Franken is a proven liar and defamer of character. But it's not the main point I am trying to make.
Bottom line for me is that Franken is not qualified for any public office and that there are some documented concerns about the way that the recount in MN is being handled and that should concern all of us.
Searcher
01-06-2009, 03:28 PM
I don't feel like doing the research on it but Franken is a proven liar and defamer of character.
Well, at least you're well informed.
Elduardo
01-06-2009, 06:28 PM
I'm not going to get involved in personal comments and disrespectful discussion. I am aware of instances of Franken engaging in such dishonest behavior as I have indicated above but since it is not critical to my main point, I am not going to take the time to post links and sources.
If you'd like to discuss his qualifications or the concerns about the handling of the MN recount in a cordial manner then I'm all for it.
Grendel
01-06-2009, 06:34 PM
Bottom line for me is that Franken is not qualified for any public office and that there are some documented concerns about the way that the recount in MN is being handled and that should concern all of us.I'm not particularly well-versed in California politics, but Schwarzenegger was similarly not qualified for any public office and appears to have done at least a passable job. Clearly I would advise shooting for much higher than "passable," but I'd say nothing can be ruled out.
As far as the recount is going, given the impending court challenges, as well as the threatened filibuster in the Senate, I think the amount of eyes on the process should allow any chicanery that may be present to come to light. If that turns out to be the case, then any individuals involved should be punished to the fullest extent of the law.
Franken's qualifications are certainly up for debate, but the bottom line is...the people vote.
Elduardo
01-06-2009, 08:32 PM
Franken's qualifications are certainly up for debate, but the bottom line is...the people vote.
Understood but let's examine that. Coleman was up by 725 votes the day after the election. Since then, it seems like every decision has gone for Franken (as explained by the WSJ), and votes for Franken have been found at a rate that one economist has said is statistically impossible.
So I think the question of whether the people's vote has been properly counted has yet to be answered.
Having said that, even if Coleman somehow wins it makes me sad that Franken got anywhere enough votes to win.
Elduardo
01-06-2009, 09:01 PM
25 precincts now have more ballots than people that singed up on election night to vote.
As I understand it, the recount has been conducted according to Minnesota state law. Coleman advised Franken to waive the legally madated recount and concede the day after the election. Coleman had a slight lead at that point. Franken declined.
Coleman decided to go to court to keep rejected absentee ballots from being counted. He said he wanted a uniform standard for counting ballots. The Supreme Court ruled that the valid absentee ballots had to be counted. Coleman and Franken both agreed to standards for accepting a ballot. Coleman then claims that there was no uniform standard.
Now that the ballots have been counted in accordance with state law, Franken has the lead. Is Coleman going to concede as he suggested Franken do? No. He's going to sue. This thing will drag on for months most likely.
Having said all of that, I haven't seen anything about precincts having more ballots than people.
Elduardo
01-07-2009, 08:08 PM
I've been following this closely and I've never seen a recount swing from one candidate being 725 votes up to 225 votes down. It's just highly unlikely to me that all of these Franken votes are coming out of the woodwork at such a disproportinate rate.
Perhaps. But Coleman's about face from election day to now is a tad suspect too no? To be fair, when the roles were reversed he was happy to be advising Franken to bow out.
Elduardo
01-07-2009, 08:28 PM
I'm not sure how Coleman's behavior is suspect, he's probably pretty stunned that he's now losing and that virtually every decision has gone Franken's way. I think Coleman should have been fighting hard the whole way.
Did you read this part from the WSJ article:
In other cases, the board has been flagrantly inconsistent. Last month, Mr. Franken's campaign charged that one Hennepin County (Minneapolis) precinct had "lost" 133 votes, since the hand recount showed fewer ballots than machine votes recorded on Election Night. Though there is no proof to this missing vote charge -- officials may have accidentally run the ballots through the machine twice on Election Night -- the Canvassing Board chose to go with the Election Night total, rather than the actual number of ballots in the recount. That decision gave Mr. Franken a gain of 46 votes.
Meanwhile, a Ramsey County precinct ended up with 177 more ballots than there were recorded votes on Election Night. In that case, the board decided to go with the extra ballots, rather than the Election Night total, even though the county is now showing more ballots than voters in the precinct. This gave Mr. Franken a net gain of 37 votes, which means he's benefited both ways from the board's inconsistency.
Pretty clear-cut shenanigans.
Grendel
01-07-2009, 10:16 PM
Pretty clear-cut shenanigans.Perhaps, perhaps not. This was a WSJ editorial, not an investigative piece and there appear to be more than a few (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/01/did-wall-street-jorunal-fire-their-fact.html) holes:
Did the Wall Street Journal Fire their Fact-Checkers?
The Wall Street Journal is bar none one of the best newspapers in the country -- except when its Editorial Board is having a bad day. And today the Board is having a very bad day, having published an editorial that declares Al Franken's provisional win in Minnesota, which the state just certified moments ago, to be illegitimate, while accusing Minnesota's Canvassing Board of being inconsistent and biased in favor of Franken.
There is nothing intrinsically wrong with taking such a position. The Journal's editorial, however, has several basic facts wrong, makes several other assertions based on flimsy or nonexistent evidence, and generally has little understanding of the process that has taken place to date.
Let's go through the editorial paragraph by paragraph.
*****Strange things keep happening in Minnesota, where the disputed recount in the Senate race between Norm Coleman and Al Franken may be nearing a dubious outcome. Thanks to the machinations of Democratic Secretary of State Mark Ritchie and a meek state Canvassing Board, Mr. Franken may emerge as an illegitimate victory
"Machinations": there's a ten-dollar word. Ritchie may be a Democrat, but he was also democratically elected -- lower case 'D' -- by the people of Minnesota. And as for the Canvassing Board, it arguably leans to the right, consisting of two members appointed by Tim Pawlenty, one appointed by Jesse Ventura, one elected member, and Ritchie.
*****Mr. Franken started the recount 215 votes behind Senator Coleman, but he now claims a 225-vote lead and suddenly the man who was insisting on "counting every vote" wants to shut the process down. He's getting help from Mr. Ritchie and his four fellow Canvassing Board members, who have delivered inconsistent rulings and are ignoring glaring problems with the tallies.
Actually, Coleman is having far more trouble with the Minnesota Supreme Court, which generally has a conservative reputation, than he is with the Canvassing Board. They're the ones who rejected his petition on duplicate ballots, and they're the ones who rejected his notion of wanting to tack on additional ballots to the absentee ballot counting.
*****Under Minnesota law, election officials are required to make a duplicate ballot if the original is damaged during Election Night counting. Officials are supposed to mark these as "duplicate" and segregate the original ballots. But it appears some officials may have failed to mark ballots as duplicates, which are now being counted in addition to the originals. This helps explain why more than 25 precincts now have more ballots than voters who signed in to vote. By some estimates this double counting has yielded Mr. Franken an additional 80 to 100 votes.
There are 25 precincts with more ballots than voters? I'm not sure this is actually true. There were certain precincts with more votes counted during the recount than there were on Election Night -- which is not surprising, considering that the whole purpose of a hand recount is to find votes that the machine scanners missed the first time around. I have not seen any evidence, on the other hand, that there are precincts with more votes than voters as recorded on sign-in sheets. And the Coleman campaign evidently hasn't either, or it presumably would have presented it to the Court, which rejected its petition for lack of evidence.
Also, note the weasel-wordy phrase "by some estimates", which translates as "by the Coleman campaign's estimate". There is no intrinsic reason why Franken ballots are more likely to be duplicated than Coleman ballots, especially when one significant source of duplicate ballots is military absentees, a group that presumably favors the Republicans. Coleman, indeed, only became interested in the issue of duplicates once he fell behind in the recount and needed some way to extend his clock. Before then, his lead attorney had sent an e-mail to Franken which said that challenges on the issue of duplicate ballots were "groundless and frivolous".
*****This disenfranchises Minnesotans whose vote counted only once. And one Canvassing Board member, State Supreme Court Justice G. Barry Anderson, has acknowledged that "very likely there was a double counting." Yet the board insists that it lacks the authority to question local officials and it is merely adding the inflated numbers to the totals.
The Canvassing Board indeed determined that it lacked the jurisidiction to handle duplicate ballots, telling Coleman that he had to go to court. Which he did. And the court threw the case out because Coleman didn't have any evidence.
*****In other cases, the board has been flagrantly inconsistent. Last month, Mr. Franken's campaign charged that one Hennepin County (Minneapolis) precinct had "lost" 133 votes, since the hand recount showed fewer ballots than machine votes recorded on Election Night. Though there is no proof to this missing vote charge -- officials may have accidentally run the ballots through the machine twice on Election Night -- the Canvassing Board chose to go with the Election Night total, rather than the actual number of ballots in the recount. That decision gave Mr. Franken a gain of 46 votes.
Actually, there is some proof (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/12/missing-ballots-in-minneapolis.html): the number of votes identified during the recount fell 134 short of the number of voters who signed in on Election Night in this precinct.
*****Meanwhile, a Ramsey County precinct ended up with 177 more ballots than there were recorded votes on Election Night. In that case, the board decided to go with the extra ballots, rather than the Election Night total, even though the county is now showing more ballots than voters in the precinct. This gave Mr. Franken a net gain of 37 votes, which means he's benefited both ways from the board's inconsistency.
The decisions are not inconsistent if the Canvassing Board's objective is wanting to count every vote.
And here again the Journal is going on about the county "showing more ballots than voters in the precinct". If there is evidence of this, it would be news not just to me but also to the Coleman campaign.
*****And then there are the absentee ballots. The Franken campaign initially howled that some absentee votes had been erroneously rejected by local officials. Counties were supposed to review their absentees and create a list of those they believed were mistakenly rejected. Many Franken-leaning counties did so, submitting 1,350 ballots to include in the results. But many Coleman-leaning counties have yet to complete a re-examination. Despite this lack of uniformity, and though the state Supreme Court has yet to rule on a Coleman request to standardize this absentee review, Mr. Ritchie's office nonetheless plowed through the incomplete pile of 1,350 absentees this weekend, padding Mr. Franken's edge by a further 176 votes.
This is just blatantly false. All counties, red and blue alike, were instructed by the Supreme Court to identify any wrongly-rejected absentee ballots, and all of them did. In certain counties, Coleman claims to have identified additional wrongly-rejected absentee ballots above and beyond the ones that county officials identified -- but these were counties that nevertheless complied with the court's order and turned in their lists of ballots to the state.
*****Both campaigns have also suggested that Mr. Ritchie's office made mistakes in tabulating votes that had been challenged by either of the campaigns. And the Canvassing Board appears to have applied inconsistent standards in how it decided some of these challenged votes -- in ways that, again on net, have favored Mr. Franken.
I watched the video feed of the challenge adjudication process and did think there were some number of inconsistencies, particularly in the ways that ballots with 'X's on them were handled. But, I was looking at .pdfs of the ballots, whereas the Canvassing Board got to look at full-color, three-dimensional copies, which may make some difference in borderline cases. More to the point, however: (1) both candidates had their lawyers in the room when this adjudication was taking place, and had every right to press the Board on perceived inconsistencies, and (2) there is no evidence whatsoever that these inconsistencies hurt any one candidate particularly more than the other.
*****The question is how the board can certify a fair and accurate election result given these multiple recount problems. Yet that is precisely what the five members seem prepared to do when they meet today. Some members seem to have concluded that because one of the candidates will challenge the result in any event, why not get on with it and leave it to the courts? Mr. Coleman will certainly have grounds to contest the result in court, but he'll be at a disadvantage given that courts are understandably reluctant to overrule a certified outcome.
He'll be at a disadvantage because fewer people voted for him.
*****Meanwhile, Minnesota's other Senator, Amy Klobuchar, is already saying her fellow Democrats should seat Mr. Franken when the 111th Congress begins this week if the Canvassing Board certifies him as the winner. This contradicts Minnesota law, which says the state cannot award a certificate of election if one party contests the results. Ms. Klobuchar is trying to create the public perception of a fait accompli, all the better to make Mr. Coleman look like a sore loser and build pressure on him to drop his legal challenge despite the funny recount business.
But it doesn't contradict Congressional precedent, as the Congress generally has seated provisional winners while challenges were taking place, including Republican Representative Vern Buchanan in 2007 and Democratic Senator Mary Landrieu in 1997.
*****Minnesotans like to think that their state isn't like New Jersey or Louisiana, and typically it isn't. But we can't recall a similar recount involving optical scanning machines that has changed so many votes, and in which nearly every crucial decision worked to the advantage of the same candidate. The Coleman campaign clearly misjudged the politics here, and the apparent willingness of a partisan like Mr. Ritchie to help his preferred candidate, Mr. Franken. If the Canvassing Board certifies Mr. Franken as the winner based on the current count, it will be anointing a tainted and undeserving Senator.
New Jerseyites! Louisianans! Cancel your subscriptions! And the rest of you might as well too.
While I don't contend this rebuttal is, by any means, the final word, it raises some serious questions about the account in the Journal's editorial piece (esp. concerning the multiple references to precincts with more votes than voters)
WarBeast
01-08-2009, 02:25 AM
Perhaps, perhaps not. This was a WSJ editorial, not an investigative piece and there appear to be more than a few (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/01/did-wall-street-jorunal-fire-their-fact.html) holes:
While I don't contend this rebuttal is, by any means, the final word, it raises some serious questions about the account in the Journal's editorial piece (esp. concerning the multiple references to precincts with more votes than voters)
Isn't the WSJ owned by Murdoch?
If so, that in itself makes any editorial piece coming out if it a bit more than dubious, if you ask me...
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